TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 17Saturday 16 January · 14:30 · Stadion im Borussia-Park
M'gladbach18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Union Berlin16th place
BMG 44%X 28%FCU 28%

Prediction

  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a M'gladbach win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.27X28%3.62228%3.53
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.791272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.26

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: M'gladbach · Columns: Union Berlin1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

M'gladbach – Union Berlin28 February 20261-0
Union Berlin – M'gladbach17 October 20253-1
Union Berlin – M'gladbach15 February 20251-2
M'gladbach – Union Berlin28 September 20241-0
M'gladbach – Union Berlin28 April 20240-0
Union Berlin – M'gladbach9 December 20233-1