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Bundesliga · Matchday 15Saturday 9 January · 14:30 · Deutsche Bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Schalke 0417th place
SGE 66%X 21%S04 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Eintracht Frankfurt lead by 96 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.4 points per game, Schalke 04 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Eintracht Frankfurt -0.3, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.546%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.52X21%4.68213%7.71
Double chance
1X87%1.15X234%2.911279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes42%2.39BTTS no58%1.72

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt · Columns: Schalke 041-0 probability 14.2%

Form

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Head to head

Schalke 04 – Eintracht Frankfurt20 May 20232-2
Eintracht Frankfurt – Schalke 0421 January 20233-0