TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 15Saturday 9 January · 14:30 · Home Deluxe Arena
Paderborn14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
RB Leipzig4th place
SCP 18%X 23%RBL 59%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 154 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Paderborn -0.6.
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 47% of the time
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.66X23%4.30259%1.69
Double chance
1X41%2.45X282%1.211277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes47%2.12BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paderborn · Columns: RB Leipzig0-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →