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Bundesliga · Matchday 15Saturday 9 January · 14:30 · PreZero Arena
Hoffenheim12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Elversberg7th place
TSG 65%X 20%SVE 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Hoffenheim 0.4, Elversberg -0.7.
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.7 – 1.3
Over 2.576%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.54X20%4.92215%6.72
Double chance
1X85%1.18X235%2.841280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.576%1.32Under 2.524%4.12BTTS yes68%1.46BTTS no32%3.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hoffenheim · Columns: Elversberg2-1 probability 8.8%

Form

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