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Bundesliga · Matchday 15Saturday 9 January · 14:30 · RheinEnergieStadion
Köln13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Freiburg3rd place
KOE 34%X 28%SCF 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Freiburg lead by 134 rating points.
  • If Köln score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Freiburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.91X28%3.62238%2.63
Double chance
1X62%1.61X266%1.521272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Köln · Columns: Freiburg1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →
KölnLWLDD

Head to head

Freiburg – Köln25 January 20262-1
Köln – Freiburg31 August 20254-1
Köln – Freiburg4 May 20240-0
Freiburg – Köln17 December 20232-0
Köln – Freiburg29 April 20230-1
Freiburg – Köln6 November 20222-0