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Bundesliga · Matchday 15Saturday 9 January · 14:30 · Stadion im Borussia-Park
M'gladbach18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-3High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
BMG 7%X 13%FCB 80%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 345 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, M'gladbach -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Bayern Munich 2.2 points per game, M'gladbach 0.8.
  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 23% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 91% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.0 – 3.2
Over 2.580%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score0-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
17%13.64X13%7.96280%1.25
Double chance
1X20%5.03X293%1.081287%1.14
Goals
Over 2.580%1.26Under 2.520%4.89BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: M'gladbach · Columns: Bayern Munich0-3 probability 8.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – M'gladbach6 March 20264-1
M'gladbach – Bayern Munich25 October 20250-3
Bayern Munich – M'gladbach10 May 20252-0
M'gladbach – Bayern Munich11 January 20250-1
Bayern Munich – M'gladbach3 February 20243-1
M'gladbach – Bayern Munich2 September 20231-2