TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 15Saturday 9 January · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Augsburg10th place
VFB 64%X 21%FCA 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 94 rating points.
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.1
Over 2.568%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X21%4.83215%6.49
Double chance
1X85%1.18X236%2.771279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.568%1.47Under 2.532%3.12BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.62

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Augsburg2-1 probability 9.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Augsburg – Stuttgart22 March 20262-5
Stuttgart – Augsburg9 November 20253-2
Stuttgart – Augsburg11 May 20254-0
Augsburg – Stuttgart12 January 20250-1
Augsburg – Stuttgart10 May 20240-1
Stuttgart – Augsburg20 December 20233-0