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Bundesliga · Matchday 18Saturday 23 January · 14:30 · Deutsche Bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Union Berlin16th place
SGE 55%X 25%FCU 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Eintracht Frankfurt lead by 64 rating points.
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.559%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Eintracht Frankfurt win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.83X25%4.01220%4.90
Double chance
1X80%1.26X245%2.211275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.45BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.42

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt · Columns: Union Berlin1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt29 August 20263-3
Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt6 February 20261-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Union Berlin21 September 20253-4
Eintracht Frankfurt – Union Berlin9 March 20251-2
Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt27 October 20241-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Union Berlin30 March 20240-0