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Bundesliga · Matchday 18Saturday 23 January · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
VFB 16%X 19%FCB 65%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 187 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Stuttgart -0.1.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 38% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.8
Over 2.579%
Both teams score71%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.16X19%5.21265%1.55
Double chance
1X35%2.82X284%1.191281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.579%1.27Under 2.521%4.66BTTS yes71%1.40BTTS no29%3.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Bayern Munich1-2 probability 8.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – Stuttgart28 August 20265-1
Bayern Munich – Stuttgart19 April 20264-2
Stuttgart – Bayern Munich6 December 20250-5
Stuttgart – Bayern Munich28 February 20251-3
Bayern Munich – Stuttgart19 October 20244-0
Stuttgart – Bayern Munich4 May 20243-1