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Bundesliga · Matchday 27Saturday 20 March · 14:30 · Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Elversberg7th place
SCF 63%X 22%SVE 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Freiburg lead by 84 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Freiburg 0.3, Elversberg -0.7.
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.2
Over 2.569%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.59X22%4.62215%6.51
Double chance
1X85%1.18X237%2.701278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.569%1.44Under 2.531%3.25BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Freiburg · Columns: Elversberg2-1 probability 9.5%

Form

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