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Bundesliga · Matchday 27Saturday 20 March · 14:30 · RheinEnergieStadion
Köln13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
KOE 10%X 15%FCB 75%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 352 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Köln -0.1.
  • Last 5 games: Bayern Munich 2.2 points per game, Köln 1.0.
  • If Köln score first, they win 28% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 89% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.1 – 3.0
Over 2.577%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
110%10.34X15%6.64275%1.33
Double chance
1X25%4.04X290%1.111285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.577%1.30Under 2.523%4.38BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Köln · Columns: Bayern Munich1-2 probability 8.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – Köln16 May 20265-1
Köln – Bayern Munich14 January 20261-3
Bayern Munich – Köln13 April 20242-0
Köln – Bayern Munich24 November 20230-1
Köln – Bayern Munich27 May 20231-2
Bayern Munich – Köln24 January 20231-1