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Bundesliga · Matchday 27Saturday 20 March · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Schalke 0417th place
VFB 75%X 17%S04 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 182 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Stuttgart -0.1, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.5
Over 2.550%
Both teams score37%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
175%1.34X17%5.9328%11.85
Double chance
1X92%1.09X225%3.951283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes37%2.68BTTS no63%1.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Schalke 042-0 probability 15.7%

Form

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Head to head

Schalke 04 – Stuttgart25 February 20232-1
Stuttgart – Schalke 043 September 20221-1