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Bundesliga · Matchday 27Saturday 20 March · 14:30 · PreZero Arena
Hoffenheim12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
TSG 53%X 24%SGE 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Hoffenheim 0.4, Eintracht Frankfurt -0.3.
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.4
Over 2.570%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.87X24%4.13222%4.49
Double chance
1X78%1.29X247%2.151276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.570%1.43Under 2.530%3.35BTTS yes68%1.47BTTS no32%3.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hoffenheim · Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt2-1 probability 9.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Eintracht Frankfurt – Hoffenheim24 January 20261-3
Hoffenheim – Eintracht Frankfurt30 August 20251-3
Hoffenheim – Eintracht Frankfurt26 January 20252-2
Eintracht Frankfurt – Hoffenheim31 August 20243-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Hoffenheim10 March 20243-1
Hoffenheim – Eintracht Frankfurt21 October 20231-3