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Bundesliga · Matchday 27Saturday 20 March · 14:30 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Union Berlin16th place
RBL 70%X 19%FCU 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 164 rating points.
  • RB Leipzig take 2.8 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Union Berlin -0.2.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.9
Over 2.563%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.42X19%5.29211%9.22
Double chance
1X89%1.12X230%3.361281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Union Berlin2-0 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

RB Leipzig – Union Berlin24 April 20263-1
Union Berlin – RB Leipzig12 December 20253-1
Union Berlin – RB Leipzig1 February 20250-0
RB Leipzig – Union Berlin14 September 20240-0
RB Leipzig – Union Berlin4 February 20242-0
Union Berlin – RB Leipzig3 September 20230-3