TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 14:00 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Full time2-0Prediction correct
Torino10th place
FRO 41%X 28%TOR 32%

What does the market say?

FrosinoneDrawTorinoRinvalo41%28%32%
Market44%24%32%

✓ Agree · both back Frosinone

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Frosinone 2.0 points per game, Torino 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Frosinone 0.1, Torino -0.8.
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Frosinone win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.46X28%3.60232%3.17
Double chance
1X68%1.46X259%1.681272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Torino2-0 probability 7.2% · final score
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Frosinone – Torino1 November 20262-0
Torino – Frosinone21 April 20240-0
Frosinone – Torino10 December 20230-0