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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 10Saturday 31 October · 14:00 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Monza16th place
BOL 55%X 26%MON 19%

What does the market say?

BolognaDrawMonzaRinvalo55%26%19%
Market56%24%20%

✓ Agree · both back Bologna

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Bologna lead by 139 rating points.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Monza score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.552%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.82X26%3.84219%5.30
Double chance
1X81%1.23X245%2.231274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Monza2-1 probability 9.8% · final score

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Bologna – Monza31 October 20262-1
Bologna – Monza18 January 20253-1
Monza – Bologna22 September 20241-2
Bologna – Monza13 April 20240-0
Monza – Bologna28 September 20230-0
Bologna – Monza12 February 20230-1