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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 19:45 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Napoli8th place
JUV 48%X 28%NAP 24%

What does the market say?

JuventusDrawNapoliRinvalo48%28%24%
Market42%29%29%

✓ Agree · both back Juventus

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 1.0, Napoli 0.3.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Napoli score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.541%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.08X28%3.54224%4.24
Double chance
1X76%1.31X252%1.931272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.541%2.41Under 2.559%1.71BTTS yes46%2.15BTTS no54%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Napoli2-0 probability 9.8% · final score

Form

Compare →
NapoliWLDWL

Head to head

Juventus – Napoli1 November 20262-0
Juventus – Napoli25 January 20263-0
Napoli – Juventus7 December 20252-1
Napoli – Juventus25 January 20252-1
Juventus – Napoli21 September 20240-0
Napoli – Juventus3 March 20242-1