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Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Serie A · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 14:00 · Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1st place
Full time2-1Prediction correct
Cagliari12th place
LAZ 54%X 27%CAG 19%

What does the market say?

LazioDrawCagliariRinvalo54%27%19%
Market65%21%13%

✓ Agree · both back Lazio

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Lazio lead by 71 rating points.
  • If Lazio score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.541%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.84X27%3.77219%5.24
Double chance
1X81%1.24X246%2.191274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.541%2.43Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes44%2.28BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lazio · Columns: Cagliari2-1 probability 9.1% · final score

Form

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LazioWWWWW

Head to head

Lazio – Cagliari1 November 20262-1
Cagliari – Lazio21 February 20260-0
Lazio – Cagliari3 November 20252-0
Cagliari – Lazio3 February 20251-2
Lazio – Cagliari4 November 20242-1
Cagliari – Lazio10 February 20241-3