TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 17:00 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Genoa11th place
LEC 34%X 31%GEN 36%

What does the market say?

LecceDrawGenoaRinvalo34%31%36%
Market30%31%40%

✓ Agree · both back Genoa

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
  • If Lecce score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Genoa score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.537%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Genoa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.95X31%3.28236%2.82
Double chance
1X64%1.55X266%1.511269%1.44
Goals
Over 2.537%2.70Under 2.563%1.59BTTS yes45%2.23BTTS no55%1.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Genoa1-2 probability 7.4% · final score

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Lecce – Genoa1 November 20261-2
Lecce – Genoa24 May 20261-0
Genoa – Lecce23 August 20250-0
Genoa – Lecce14 March 20252-1
Lecce – Genoa5 January 20250-0
Genoa – Lecce28 January 20242-1