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Serie A · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 11:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Venezia20th place
COM 80%X 14%VEN 6%

What does the market say?

ComoDrawVeneziaRinvalo80%14%6%
Market73%16%11%

✓ Agree · both back Como

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Como lead by 289 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.0 points per game, Venezia 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.7, Venezia -0.5.
  • If Como score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 25% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.6 – 0.6
Over 2.562%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
180%1.24X14%7.3026%17.12
Double chance
1X94%1.06X220%5.121286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.562%1.61Under 2.538%2.64BTTS yes42%2.41BTTS no59%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Venezia1-0 probability 10.2% · final score

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Como – Venezia1 November 20261-0
Como – Venezia8 March 20251-1
Venezia – Como8 December 20242-2