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Serie A · Matchday 10Saturday 31 October · 19:45 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan5th place
Full time3-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✕ Missed
Inter2nd place
MIL 24%X 25%INT 51%

What does the market say?

MilanDrawInterRinvalo24%25%51%
Market27%25%48%

✓ Agree · both back Inter

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Inter lead by 120 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.1, Milan 0.0.
  • Inter take 1.9 points per game away.
  • If Milan score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.8
Over 2.559%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Inter win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.17X25%3.96251%1.97
Double chance
1X49%2.03X276%1.321275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.42BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Milan · Columns: Inter3-1 probability 2.6% · final score

Form

Compare →
MilanDWWLW
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Milan – Inter31 October 20263-1
Milan – Inter8 March 20261-0
Inter – Milan23 November 20250-1
Milan – Inter2 February 20251-1
Inter – Milan22 September 20241-2
Milan – Inter22 April 20241-2