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Serie A · Matchday 10Saturday 31 October · 17:00 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Full time2-5Prediction correct
Roma3rd place
UDI 22%X 25%ROM 53%

What does the market say?

UdineseDrawRomaRinvalo22%25%53%
Market17%22%61%

✓ Agree · both back Roma

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Roma lead by 183 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Roma 2.6 points per game, Udinese 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Roma 1.4, Udinese -0.1.
  • If Udinese score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If Roma score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.7
Over 2.552%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Roma win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
122%4.49X25%4.00253%1.90
Double chance
1X47%2.12X278%1.291275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Roma2-5 probability 0.4% · final score

Form

Compare →
UdineseLLLDL
RomaDWDWW

Head to head

Udinese – Roma31 October 20262-5
Udinese – Roma2 February 20261-0
Roma – Udinese9 November 20252-0
Udinese – Roma26 January 20251-2
Roma – Udinese22 September 20243-0
Udinese – Roma25 April 20241-2