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La Liga · Matchday 11Sunday 1 November · 13:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe12th place
Full time3-1Prediction correct
Sevilla6th place
GET 36%X 32%SEV 32%

What does the market say?

GetafeDrawSevillaRinvalo36%32%32%
Market30%32%38%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Getafe 36%, market Sevilla 38%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Getafe take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Getafe score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 15%
Expected goals1.0 – 0.9
Over 2.531%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score0-0

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Getafe win. The single likeliest score is 0-0, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.80X32%3.08232%3.14
Double chance
1X68%1.47X264%1.561268%1.48
Goals
Over 2.531%3.19Under 2.569%1.46BTTS yes40%2.50BTTS no60%1.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Sevilla3-1 probability 2.3% · final score

Form

Compare →
GetafeWLDLW
SevillaLDLWL

Head to head

Getafe – Sevilla1 November 20263-1
Getafe – Sevilla22 February 20260-1
Sevilla – Getafe25 August 20251-2
Getafe – Sevilla1 February 20250-0
Sevilla – Getafe14 September 20241-0
Getafe – Sevilla30 March 20240-1