TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 11Saturday 31 October · 13:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Full time0-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Atlético Madrid2nd place
LEV 24%X 26%ATM 50%

What does the market say?

LevanteDrawAtlético MadridRinvalo24%26%50%
Market18%21%61%

✓ Agree · both back Atlético Madrid

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Atlético Madrid lead by 149 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Atlético Madrid 2.4 points per game, Levante 1.0.
  • If Levante score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Atlético Madrid score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.8
Over 2.556%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Atlético Madrid win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.09X26%3.90250%2.00
Double chance
1X50%2.00X276%1.321274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Atlético Madrid0-2 probability 8.2% · final score

Head to head

Levante – Atlético Madrid31 October 20260-2
Levante – Atlético Madrid31 January 20260-0
Atlético Madrid – Levante8 November 20253-1
Atlético Madrid – Levante16 February 20220-1
Levante – Atlético Madrid28 October 20212-2