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La Liga · Matchday 11Sunday 1 November · 17:30 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Valencia19th place
ELC 44%X 28%VAL 27%

What does the market say?

ElcheDrawValenciaRinvalo44%28%27%
Market41%28%31%

✓ Agree · both back Elche

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Elche score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.551%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.25X28%3.57227%3.64
Double chance
1X73%1.38X256%1.801272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Valencia0-1 probability 7.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Elche – Valencia1 November 20260-1
Elche – Valencia11 April 20261-0
Valencia – Elche10 January 20261-1
Elche – Valencia23 April 20230-2
Valencia – Elche15 October 20222-2
Elche – Valencia19 March 20220-1