TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 11Saturday 31 October · 20:00 · Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona1st place
Full time6-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Alavés10th place
BAR 80%X 14%ALA 6%

What does the market say?

BarcelonaDrawAlavésRinvalo80%14%6%
Market86%9%5%

✓ Agree · both back Barcelona

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 275 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.1, Alavés 0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Barcelona 3.0 points per game, Alavés 1.4.
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 24% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.9 – 0.8
Over 2.572%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
180%1.25X14%7.2126%16.05
Double chance
1X94%1.07X220%4.981286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.572%1.40Under 2.528%3.52BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Barcelona · Columns: Alavés6-1 probability 0.0% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Barcelona – Alavés31 October 20266-1
Alavés – Barcelona13 May 20261-0
Barcelona – Alavés29 November 20253-1
Barcelona – Alavés2 February 20251-0
Alavés – Barcelona6 October 20240-3
Alavés – Barcelona3 February 20241-3