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La Liga · Matchday 11Saturday 31 October · 15:15 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Full time3-0Prediction correct
Celta Vigo9th place
RAY 48%X 28%CEL 25%

What does the market say?

Rayo VallecanoDrawCelta VigoRinvalo48%28%25%
Market40%29%31%

✓ Agree · both back Rayo Vallecano

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.544%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.10X28%3.60225%4.06
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.911272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Celta Vigo3-0 probability 4.5% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Celta Vigo31 October 20263-0
Celta Vigo – Rayo Vallecano18 January 20263-0
Rayo Vallecano – Celta Vigo21 September 20251-1
Celta Vigo – Rayo Vallecano18 May 20251-2
Rayo Vallecano – Celta Vigo10 January 20252-1
Celta Vigo – Rayo Vallecano31 March 20240-0