TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 11Saturday 31 October · 17:30 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Málaga20th place
BET 70%X 20%MAL 11%

What does the market say?

Real BetisDrawMálagaRinvalo70%20%11%
Market71%18%12%

✓ Agree · both back Real Betis

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 179 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Real Betis 2.0 points per game, Málaga 0.4.
  • Real Betis take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Málaga score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.6
Over 2.549%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.44X20%5.11211%9.30
Double chance
1X89%1.12X230%3.301280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes41%2.44BTTS no59%1.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Málaga2-1 probability 9.1% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Betis – Málaga31 October 20262-1