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La Liga · Matchday 11Sunday 1 November · 15:15 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
RAC 11%X 16%RMA 73%

What does the market say?

Racing SantanderDrawReal MadridRinvalo11%16%73%
Market9%13%78%

✓ Agree · both back Real Madrid

Prediction

Predicted: 1-3
Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 255 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Madrid 1.3, Racing Santander -0.8.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 29% of the time
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.3 – 3.1
Over 2.581%
Both teams score69%
Likeliest score1-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%9.12X16%6.41273%1.36
Double chance
1X27%3.76X289%1.121284%1.18
Goals
Over 2.581%1.23Under 2.519%5.31BTTS yes69%1.46BTTS no31%3.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Real Madrid0-3 probability 6.4% · final score

Head to head

Racing Santander – Real Madrid1 November 20260-3