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Primeira Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Famalicão11th place
GIL 41%X 30%FAM 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Gil Vicente 0.2, Famalicão -0.4.
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.537%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Gil Vicente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.41X30%3.33229%3.50
Double chance
1X71%1.40X259%1.711270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.537%2.69Under 2.563%1.59BTTS yes44%2.25BTTS no56%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Famalicão1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Famalicão – Gil Vicente30 August 20260-0
Gil Vicente – Famalicão1 February 20265-0
Famalicão – Gil Vicente24 August 20250-0
Gil Vicente – Famalicão17 February 20250-2
Famalicão – Gil Vicente14 September 20241-1
Gil Vicente – Famalicão29 March 20241-2