TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · Estádio do Dragão
Porto1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Académico de Viseu6th place
POR 76%X 17%ACV 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 251 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Porto 1.4, Académico de Viseu -0.5.
  • Porto take 2.8 points per game at home.
  • If Porto score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 31% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.5
Over 2.550%
Both teams score35%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
176%1.31X17%6.0627%13.81
Double chance
1X93%1.08X224%4.211283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes35%2.86BTTS no65%1.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Porto · Columns: Académico de Viseu2-0 probability 16.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Académico de Viseu – Porto29 August 20260-3