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Primeira Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 7 February · 16:00 · Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Vitória de Guimarães13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Braga7th place
VSC 29%X 29%SCB 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 108 rating points.
  • Derby match.
  • If Vitória de Guimarães score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Braga score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Braga win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.48X29%3.50243%2.34
Double chance
1X57%1.75X271%1.401271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Vitória de Guimarães · Columns: Braga1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Braga – Vitória de Guimarães31 August 20261-0
Braga – Vitória de Guimarães21 February 20263-2
Vitória de Guimarães – Braga20 September 20251-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Braga16 February 20250-0
Braga – Vitória de Guimarães15 September 20240-2
Vitória de Guimarães – Braga11 May 20242-3