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Primeira Liga · Matchday 25Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Moreirense8th place
GIL 52%X 28%MOR 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Gil Vicente 0.2, Moreirense -0.9.
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Moreirense score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.541%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.93X28%3.63221%4.84
Double chance
1X79%1.26X248%2.071272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.541%2.45Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes45%2.24BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Moreirense1-0 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Moreirense – Gil Vicente9 October 20260-1
Moreirense – Gil Vicente7 February 20261-2
Gil Vicente – Moreirense29 August 20252-0
Gil Vicente – Moreirense6 April 20250-1
Moreirense – Gil Vicente8 November 20243-2
Moreirense – Gil Vicente20 April 20240-1