TR
Picks
Bundesliga · Matchday 13Saturday 12 December · 14:30 · Stadion im Borussia-Park
M'gladbach18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
BMG 36%X 26%SGE 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Eintracht Frankfurt lead by 72 rating points.
  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Eintracht Frankfurt win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.76X26%3.79237%2.67
Double chance
1X63%1.60X264%1.571274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes65%1.53BTTS no35%2.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: M'gladbach · Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt1-1 probability 10.9%

Head to head

Eintracht Frankfurt – M'gladbach14 February 20263-0
M'gladbach – Eintracht Frankfurt27 September 20254-6
M'gladbach – Eintracht Frankfurt8 February 20251-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – M'gladbach21 September 20242-0
M'gladbach – Eintracht Frankfurt11 May 20241-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – M'gladbach20 December 20232-1