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Bundesliga · Matchday 13Saturday 12 December · 14:30 · Home Deluxe Arena
Paderborn14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Elversberg7th place
SCP 42%X 27%SVE 30%

Prediction

  • If Paderborn score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Paderborn win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.37X27%3.64230%3.29
Double chance
1X70%1.44X258%1.731273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paderborn · Columns: Elversberg1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

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