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Bundesliga · Matchday 13Saturday 12 December · 14:30 · Weserstadion
Werder Bremen5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Leverkusen6th place
SVW 38%X 26%B04 36%

Prediction

  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.562%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Werder Bremen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.64X26%3.83236%2.78
Double chance
1X64%1.56X262%1.611274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.66BTTS yes65%1.55BTTS no35%2.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Werder Bremen · Columns: Leverkusen1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Leverkusen – Werder Bremen24 January 20261-0
Werder Bremen – Leverkusen30 August 20253-3
Leverkusen – Werder Bremen8 March 20250-2
Werder Bremen – Leverkusen26 October 20242-2
Leverkusen – Werder Bremen14 April 20245-0
Werder Bremen – Leverkusen25 November 20230-3