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Bundesliga · Matchday 13Saturday 12 December · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Union Berlin16th place
VFB 66%X 20%FCU 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 151 rating points.
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.0
Over 2.564%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.51X20%4.88213%7.62
Double chance
1X87%1.15X234%2.981280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.76BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Union Berlin2-0 probability 10.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stuttgart – Union Berlin18 January 20261-1
Union Berlin – Stuttgart23 August 20252-1
Union Berlin – Stuttgart19 April 20254-4
Stuttgart – Union Berlin6 December 20243-2
Stuttgart – Union Berlin8 March 20242-0
Union Berlin – Stuttgart21 October 20230-3