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Bundesliga · Matchday 13Saturday 12 December · 14:30 · PreZero Arena
Hoffenheim12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
TSG 14%X 18%FCB 68%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 259 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Hoffenheim 0.4.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 34% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.4 – 3.0
Over 2.582%
Both teams score73%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
114%7.03X18%5.56268%1.48
Double chance
1X32%3.10X286%1.171282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.582%1.22Under 2.518%5.46BTTS yes73%1.38BTTS no27%3.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hoffenheim · Columns: Bayern Munich1-2 probability 7.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim8 February 20265-1
Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich20 September 20251-4
Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich17 May 20250-4
Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim15 January 20255-0
Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich18 May 20244-2
Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim12 January 20243-0