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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 13Saturday 12 December · 14:30 · Volksparkstadion
Hamburg15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Schalke 0417th place
HSV 55%X 26%S04 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Hamburg 1.8 points per game, Schalke 04 0.4.
  • If Hamburg score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.7
Over 2.537%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.81X26%3.81219%5.40
Double chance
1X81%1.23X245%2.231274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.537%2.71Under 2.563%1.58BTTS yes40%2.51BTTS no60%1.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hamburg · Columns: Schalke 041-0 probability 15.9%

Form

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