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Bundesliga · Matchday 25Saturday 6 March · 14:30 · Volksparkstadion
Hamburg15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
HSV 37%X 27%SGE 36%

Prediction

  • If Hamburg score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Hamburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.71X27%3.71236%2.77
Double chance
1X64%1.57X263%1.591273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hamburg · Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburg1 November 20263-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburg2 May 20261-2
Hamburg – Eintracht Frankfurt20 December 20251-1