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Bundesliga · Matchday 25Saturday 6 March · 14:30 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Schalke 0417th place
RBL 78%X 15%S04 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 196 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • Last 5 games: RB Leipzig 1.8 points per game, Schalke 04 0.4.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 30% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.5
Over 2.550%
Both teams score33%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
178%1.28X15%6.5827%14.39
Double chance
1X93%1.07X222%4.521285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes33%3.04BTTS no67%1.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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4
5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Schalke 042-0 probability 17.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig31 October 20260-2
RB Leipzig – Schalke 0427 May 20234-2
Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig24 January 20231-6