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Bundesliga · Matchday 25Saturday 6 March · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Leverkusen6th place
VFB 51%X 24%B04 25%

Prediction

  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.5
Over 2.569%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Stuttgart win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.97X24%4.11225%4.02
Double chance
1X75%1.33X249%2.031276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.20BTTS yes68%1.48BTTS no32%3.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Leverkusen1-1 probability 9.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Leverkusen – Stuttgart31 October 20262-4
Stuttgart – Leverkusen9 May 20263-1
Leverkusen – Stuttgart10 January 20261-4
Stuttgart – Leverkusen16 March 20253-4
Leverkusen – Stuttgart1 November 20240-0
Leverkusen – Stuttgart27 April 20242-2