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Bundesliga · Matchday 25Saturday 6 March · 14:30 · RheinEnergieStadion
Köln13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Union Berlin16th place
KOE 48%X 27%FCU 25%

Prediction

  • If Köln score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.550%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Köln win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.08X27%3.68225%4.06
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.931273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Köln · Columns: Union Berlin1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Union Berlin – Köln1 November 20261-1
Union Berlin – Köln2 May 20262-2
Köln – Union Berlin20 December 20250-1
Köln – Union Berlin11 May 20243-2
Union Berlin – Köln20 December 20232-0
Union Berlin – Köln4 March 20230-0