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Bundesliga · Matchday 29Saturday 10 April · 14:30 · PreZero Arena
Hoffenheim12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Freiburg3rd place
TSG 46%X 26%SCF 28%

Prediction

  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.563%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Hoffenheim win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X26%3.78228%3.61
Double chance
1X72%1.38X254%1.851274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.70BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hoffenheim · Columns: Freiburg1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Hoffenheim – Freiburg14 February 20263-0
Freiburg – Hoffenheim28 September 20251-1
Freiburg – Hoffenheim19 April 20253-2
Hoffenheim – Freiburg8 December 20241-1
Freiburg – Hoffenheim20 January 20243-2
Hoffenheim – Freiburg19 August 20231-2