TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 29Saturday 10 April · 14:30 · Weserstadion
Werder Bremen5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
SVW 46%X 26%SGE 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Werder Bremen 2.2 points per game, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.4.
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Werder Bremen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.16X26%3.83228%3.61
Double chance
1X72%1.38X254%1.861274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.562%1.61Under 2.538%2.65BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Werder Bremen · Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Werder Bremen – Eintracht Frankfurt16 January 20263-3
Eintracht Frankfurt – Werder Bremen23 August 20254-1
Werder Bremen – Eintracht Frankfurt5 April 20252-0
Eintracht Frankfurt – Werder Bremen23 November 20241-0
Eintracht Frankfurt – Werder Bremen5 April 20241-1
Werder Bremen – Eintracht Frankfurt12 November 20232-2