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Bundesliga · Matchday 29Saturday 10 April · 14:30 · Home Deluxe Arena
Paderborn14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
SCP 7%X 13%FCB 80%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 328 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Paderborn -0.6.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 26% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 92% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals0.6 – 2.6
Over 2.563%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
17%13.91X13%7.60280%1.26
Double chance
1X20%4.91X293%1.081287%1.15
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes44%2.26BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Paderborn · Columns: Bayern Munich0-2 probability 13.2%

Form

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