TR
Picks
Bundesliga · Matchday 29Saturday 10 April · 14:30 · RheinEnergieStadion
Köln13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Augsburg10th place
KOE 45%X 26%FCA 29%

Prediction

  • If Köln score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.556%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Köln win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.22X26%3.82229%3.48
Double chance
1X71%1.40X255%1.821274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Köln · Columns: Augsburg1-1 probability 12.1%
KölnLWLDD

Head to head

Augsburg – Köln27 February 20262-0
Köln – Augsburg18 October 20251-1
Augsburg – Köln31 March 20241-1
Köln – Augsburg4 November 20231-1
Augsburg – Köln8 April 20231-3
Köln – Augsburg16 October 20223-2