KOE 45%X 26%FCA 29%
Prediction
- If Köln score first, they win 71% of the time
- If Augsburg score first, they win 57% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.556%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Köln win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.22X26%3.82229%3.48
Double chance
1X71%1.40X255%1.821274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Köln · Columns: Augsburg1-1 probability 12.1%
Form
Compare →Head to head
Augsburg – Köln27 February 20262-0
Köln – Augsburg18 October 20251-1
Augsburg – Köln31 March 20241-1
Köln – Augsburg4 November 20231-1
Augsburg – Köln8 April 20231-3
Köln – Augsburg16 October 20223-2
Köln13th place
Augsburg10th place