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Bundesliga · Matchday 29Saturday 10 April · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Elversberg7th place
VFB 70%X 18%SVE 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 114 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Stuttgart -0.1, Elversberg -0.7.
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.8 – 1.2
Over 2.576%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.43X18%5.50212%8.53
Double chance
1X88%1.13X230%3.341282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.576%1.31Under 2.524%4.24BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Elversberg2-1 probability 8.6%

Form

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