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Ligue 1 · Matchday 10Sunday 8 November · 16:15 · Stade Océane
Le Havre18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Lorient10th place
HAC 32%X 29%LOR 40%

What's at stake

Le HavreRelegation39%51%55%
LorientTop 46%3%2%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lorient lead by 117 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lorient 1.6 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Lorient score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.543%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lorient win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.17X29%3.46240%2.53
Double chance
1X60%1.65X268%1.461271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Havre · Columns: Lorient1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
LorientDLWWD

Head to head

Lorient – Le Havre17 May 20260-2
Le Havre – Lorient21 September 20251-1
Lorient – Le Havre28 January 20243-3
Le Havre – Lorient3 September 20233-0