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Ligue 1 · Matchday 10Sunday 8 November · 14:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Lille2nd place
REN 38%X 27%LIL 35%

What's at stake

RennesTop 428%18%15%
LilleTop 463%56%47%

What does the market say?

RennesDrawLilleRinvalo38%27%35%
Market45%26%30%

✓ Agree · both back Rennes

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • The market also backs the home side (45%).
  • If Rennes score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Lille score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.63X27%3.67235%2.88
Double chance
1X65%1.53X262%1.611273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Market 59%Under 2.548%2.10Market 41%BTTS yes57%1.75Market 61%BTTS no43%2.33Market 39%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Lille1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL
LilleLWDDW

Head to head

Rennes – Lille15 March 20261-2
Lille – Rennes3 January 20260-2
Rennes – Lille16 February 20250-2
Lille – Rennes24 November 20241-0
Lille – Rennes10 March 20242-2
Rennes – Lille16 September 20232-2